Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 21.672796 24.589248 27.767240 31.489692 35.733538 40.424795 46.009102
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 17.270522 21.020575 25.411383 30.940721 37.731180 45.815304 56.195862
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 14.390062 18.657258 23.988047 31.156971 40.578561 52.583692 69.114743
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 12.303202 16.922295 23.053851 31.826184 44.119048 60.828244 85.427206
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 10.480205 15.236680 21.921626 32.062145 47.165154 68.999102 103.271209
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 9.311232 14.272342 21.636023 33.452122 52.116215 80.758380 128.614769
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 8.100853 13.048351 20.778259 33.858193 55.702446 91.185058 154.121672
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.865385 11.581642 19.311892 33.060434 57.258575 98.734599 176.600992
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.940917 10.471936 18.244926 32.743275 59.578151 108.014773 204.082738
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.407186 9.946688 18.087689 33.995692 64.929997 123.682965 246.718707
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.998703 9.579631 18.153072 35.675555 71.418186 142.747457 300.256851
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.498562 8.957524 17.642891 36.159381 75.671506 158.302923 350.203348
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.884914 8.029504 16.423508 35.074024 76.674526 167.781991 390.191675
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.361587 7.200316 15.271017 33.930720 77.369428 176.849198 431.767771
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.996112 6.646147 14.607274 33.749691 80.236154 191.519581 490.801439
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.722103 6.248136 14.219904 34.139166 84.565235 210.673459 566.448521
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.455682 5.822982 13.701093 34.124052 87.929363 228.271294 642.942466
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.297749 5.628474 13.692685 35.384620 94.874777 256.778955 758.119318
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.101093 5.305947 13.319094 35.636468 99.207211 279.318970 862.454114
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.868145 4.852637 12.540783 34.656822 99.920995 291.917762 940.073503
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.689162 4.510446 11.993665 34.214942 102.112270 309.410666 1038.815747
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.597928 4.389612 12.020536 35.436013 109.607222 344.957722 1209.576422
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.530218 4.322909 12.186945 37.114739 118.953291 388.792297 1423.792558